Arizona voters will cast ballots in races for president, US Senate and the state’s nine US House seats. The Presidential race is a “Toss Up,” according to ratings from the Cook Political Report. They rate the Senate race between Democrat Ruben Gallego, a US House representative, and Kari Lake, the 2022 Republican gubernatorial nominee, as “Leans Democratic.” The House races in District 1 and District 6 are considered “Toss Ups.”
Voters will also decide on several key ballot measures, including two competing measures about how its elections are conducted, a proposal that would enshrine the right to abortion into the state constitution, two propositions related to crime, and a referendum that would modify the state’s minimum wage laws for tipped workers.
Amend state constitution to establish right to abortion; prohibit state interference before fetal viability — or after viability, if health-care provider determines the pregnant individual's life or health is threatened; ban laws punishing an individual who assists a person obtaining an abortion
CANDIDATE
VOTES
PCT
Establish constitutional right to abortion, with limits after fetal viability; ban laws punishing abortion
Yes
0
0%
Do not change state constitution
No
0
0%
Arizona: Proposition 138
Permit employers to pay tipped workers 25% less per hour than state minimum wage if their take home pay exceeds the regular minimum wage by $2 or more for all hours worked
CANDIDATE
VOTES
PCT
Permit employers to pay tipped workers up to 25% less per hour than state minimum wage
Yes
0
0%
Continue allowing employers to pay tipped workers up to 21% less per hour than state minimum wage
No
0
0%
Arizona: Proposition 313
Require a life sentence for anyone convicted of child sex trafficking, without options for parole or early release
CANDIDATE
VOTES
PCT
Require life sentence for convicted child sex traffickers
Yes
0
0%
Maintain current sentencing standards
No
0
0%
Arizona: Proposition 314
Criminalize people without lawful immigration status entering Arizona from non-official entry points or submitting false documents in applications for employment or benefits; require electronic verification of immigration status for public benefit enrollment; allow police and state judges to arrest and deport undocumented people who cross the border unlawfully; toughen penalties for selling fentanyl that subsequently causes a person's death
CANDIDATE
VOTES
PCT
Expand crimes and enforcement; tie benefits to immigration status; toughen fentanyl penalties
Yes
0
0%
Maintain current crimes, enforcement levels and requirements for benefits
No
0
0%
Arizona: Proposition 133
Amend state constitution to require holding partisan primaries, where independent or unaffiliated voters may choose to participate in any primary, which is the current practice
CANDIDATE
VOTES
PCT
Codify current practice of individual party primaries into state constitution
Yes
0
0%
Do not add partisan primary requirements to state constitution
No
0
0%
Arizona: Proposition 140
Create all-party primaries, let lawmakers or election administrators set the number of candidates who advance; require ranked choice voting in general elections with three or more candidates
CANDIDATE
VOTES
PCT
Implement all-party primaries and require ranked choice voting
Yes
0
0%
Keep individual party primaries and exclusively single-choice general elections
No
0
0%
About This State
Arizona average
US average
Major Occupations
Race and Ethnicity
Educational Attainment
Sources: American Automobile Association, US Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis
Note: Race and ethnicity shares are based on the Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP) from the Census Bureau ACS 5-year estimates, 2018-2022. Median household incomes are based on inflation-adjusted data from January to December 2023; educational attainment shares are for the population 25 years and over, both based on the 2023 Census ACS 1-year estimates. Regional price parity for housing is calculated by the Bureau of Economic Analysis and represents how much more (above 100) or less (less than 100) expensive housing rent expenditures are in a state compared to the national average in 2022, the latest available year. The three largest occupations per state are based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics release of Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics in 2023, the latest available data.