The Everything Risk

Bank Earnings Clear Path for Record Highs in US Stocks

The US economy remains on firm footing even if slowing. That’s enough to push stocks to new record highs.
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Bank earnings demonstrate that the US economy likely has enough forward momentum to overcome recent energy supply disruptions and a short oil price shock. It’s a green light for stocks to extend their rally to new highs.

Estimates for US economic growth from the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker are a bit worrying — slowing to 1.3% from over 3% initially estimated for last quarter’s data. While big bank earnings support a better-than-expected outlook, some of the details indicate a slowdown is in the works.