Starmer’s Labour Set for ‘Historic Losses’ in London Local Vote

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage speaks to members of the media at an event ahead of local elections in May, in London, on April 10.

Photographer: Henry Nicholls/AFP/Getty Images

Labour is set to hemorrhage votes to both the Greens on the left and Nigel Farage’s Reform UK on the right during local elections in London next month, according to a new poll that lays bare the flagging popularity of Keir Starmer’s governing party.

The central forecast of YouGov’s so-called multilevel regression and post-stratification poll, or MRP, is for Labour to win the highest vote share in 15 of 32 London boroughs, down from 21 four years ago. The Greens lead in four boroughs, and Reform in three, with both parties having never previously run any London council.