Polymarket Iran Bets Draw Fresh Dispute and Insider Scrutiny
Attendees wait in line outside the Situation Room by Polymarket pop-up bar in Washington.
Photographer: Graeme Sloan/BloombergBets on a ceasefire between the US and Iran have sent more than $170 million coursing through Polymarket, making it one of the largest geopolitical wagers in the short history of prediction markets.
Now, the aftermath is raising the same questions that have dogged the platforms for months: whether bettors are trading on inside information, and whether the platforms can cleanly settle the contracts they broker.