Economists See Oil Spike Costing Canada Jobs, Raising Inflation

A driver refuels a vehicle at a Mobil gas station in Montreal.Photographer: Graham Hughes/Bloomberg

Economists are boosting their forecasts for Canadian inflation and unemployment as the war in Iran drives up oil prices and heightens global instability.

Analysts in a Bloomberg survey see the consumer price index rising at a 2.4% annual pace this year, up from 2.2% in last month’s survey. Unemployment is expected to average 6.7% in 2026, compared with 6.5% previously, while the economy is seen expanding 1.1%, down from 1.2%.