Central Banks Will Probably Cut Only Half as Much as They Hiked

  • Higher-for-longer rate settings reshape market outlook
  • Guggenheim favors corporate bonds, Standard likes German bunds

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Photographer: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg
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Major advanced economy central banks are likely to take back less than half of the interest-rate hikes they rammed through over the past two years — an outlook reshaped significantly by US outperformance.

After the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England jacked up their benchmarks by a collective 1,475 basis points, only 575 basis points of reductions are in store by the end of 2025, according to new Bloomberg Economics estimates.