US Economy Has Investor Backing as Bank Risks Grow

  • Fed seen retaining credibility with at least one more hike
  • Survey respondents don’t expect hard landing for jobs market
Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg
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Markets have been trading as if the end of the world is at hand – but what most participants see, behind the recent financial turmoil and contagion fears, is a still-strong US economy, the MLIV Pulse survey shows.

The collapse of three US banks and the scramble to rescue others, including Europe’s Credit Suisse Group AG and First Republic Bank, sent stocks and bond yields plunging. Bets on Federal Reserve monetary tightening got dialed back, swap contracts reflect expectations for rate cuts within months, and recession warnings are ramping up.