Investors Watch Japan’s Spring Wage Talks to Gauge BOJ Moves

  • Shunto annual pay talks are important for clues on BOJ moves
  • BOJ says 3% wage growth is needed to tighten monetary policy
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For more than half a century, Japan’s corporate giants have held annual negotiations with labor unions to decide pay increases for the year ahead. Never have those talks meant so much to so many beyond the workers themselves.

This year, the outcome matters to bond investors, stock traders and anyone, really, with anything at stake in the country. That’s because wage growth will continue to be a key factor for the Bank of Japan’s policy under Kazuo Ueda, who is expected to replace Haruhiko Kuroda as governor in April. Kuroda made 3% wage growth a precondition to ending years of ultra-easy monetary policy.