Politics
How 14 Policy Scenarios Might Change After the U.S. Election
From antitrust to trade, a new administration would likely chart more than a few new courses.
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Biden wins: Biden teams with Europe to restrain China. “The Democrats are more likely to link economic, strategic, and human-rights concerns, taking relations into an even more difficult period.” 1
Trump wins: Trump keeps the heat on China, though having won reelection he could revert to “my buddy Xi.” 2
Democratic Senate: Still lacking 60 votes, Dems use reconciliation procedure to pass tax- and spending-related legislation with a simple majority that’s exempt from filibuster. 3
Trump wins: Lame-duck status could set in quickly. “Generally second-term presidents who don’t have a strong base in Congress tend to not get a whole lot done.” 6