Oil Price Collapse Could Strain Nigeria’s Federal System

  • Most states depend on crude payouts from national government
  • Some states at risk of insolvency, Chatham House analyst says
Photographer: Ali Mohammadi/Bloomberg
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The collapse in international oil prices, having dealt a devastating blow to Nigeria’s finances, now threatens the West African nation’s shaky federal political system.

Earnings from crude sales will plunge 80% to 1.1 trillion naira ($2.84 billion) this year, the nation’s budget office said last month. A protracted loss of income could leave most of Nigeria’s 36 states unable to function. It would also aggravate long-simmering tensions in the oil-rich Niger River delta for local control of natural resources.